The Surprising Financial Fall of Telegram: Is the $30 Billion Valuation Just a Dream?

Understanding Telegram’s Financial Reality

Recently, Telegram’s financial situation has come under scrutiny, revealing some eye-opening details that have led many to question the company’s future. For years, Telegram has been a beacon of innovation in the messaging app industry, often compared to giants like WhatsApp. However, the recent disclosure of its financial statements paints a different picture.

According to the latest reports, Telegram has been operating at a loss, with a deficit of half a billion dollars over the last two years. This is a stark contrast to the optimistic valuations some have suggested, putting the company’s worth at around $30 billion. But when we dive deeper into the numbers, that valuation seems far from reality.

The Revenue and Loss Dilemma

Telegram’s revenue in 2023 was reported at $342 million, which, on the surface, seems like a decent figure. However, this is overshadowed by a net loss of $259 million, raising concerns about the company’s sustainability. One of the most telling signs of trouble is that a significant portion of Telegram’s revenue comes from its crypto-related ventures, particularly its integrated wallet and the sale of ‘collectibles.’

In 2023, the company made $130 million from its crypto wallet and $100 million from selling these so-called collectibles. But what exactly are these collectibles? In simpler terms, these are premium usernames and custom phone numbers, sold in exchange for Telegram’s cryptocurrency, Toncoin. While this might sound innovative, it’s important to note that such revenues are highly speculative and risky, especially in the volatile world of crypto.

The Creative Accounting Behind the Numbers

One of the most concerning aspects of Telegram’s financial report is the creative accounting methods employed. For instance, the company recorded a gain of $85 million from the ‘revaluation of digital assets.’ This essentially means that Telegram decided to assign a value to its crypto assets, adding it to their income statement. However, such accounting practices are often seen as questionable because the actual worth of these digital assets is highly uncertain and can fluctuate wildly.

Furthermore, Telegram lists $399 million worth of digital assets on its balance sheet, surpassing its cash reserves of $170 million. This heavy reliance on crypto assets raises red flags, especially considering the volatile nature of cryptocurrencies. It’s not just the figures that are concerning but the fact that these assets, which many might argue are overvalued, form a substantial part of Telegram’s reported wealth.

Is Telegram’s $30 Billion Valuation Justified?

Given these financial realities, it’s difficult to justify the $30 billion valuation that Telegram once boasted about. A more realistic valuation, considering the company’s actual revenue, losses, and the quality of its assets, might be closer to $2-3 billion. This valuation would be more in line with the company’s ‘honest’ revenue and its financial health.

Moreover, the company is saddled with $2 billion in debt, further complicating its financial outlook. This debt is a significant burden, especially when the company’s revenues are not enough to cover its losses. The combination of these factors suggests that Telegram’s future might not be as bright as it once seemed.

Final Thoughts

While Telegram has been a trailblazer in the messaging app space, its financial statements reveal a company struggling to stay afloat. The reliance on speculative crypto assets and creative accounting raises questions about its long-term viability. As investors and users, it’s essential to look beyond the hype and focus on the hard numbers. The reality is that Telegram may not be worth anywhere near the $30 billion it once aimed for, and it’s crucial to keep this in mind as the company navigates its financial challenges.

Read the article “Telegram’s Battle with Russian Authorities: From Blocked to Arrested”

Comments

Leave a Reply